Thursday, April 21, 2011

Why is there irrational fear of radiation?

Four perspectives on the need to change the way the significance of radiation numbers are explained to the public

Fukushima beforeThe crisis at the Fukushima nuclear reactor complex in Japan (right), caused by a record earthquake and equally record shattering tsunami, has created a maelstrom of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) when it comes to radiation measurements.

At a private online discussion forum on nuclear energy, there has been considerable debate about the cause of FUD over radiation and what to do about irrational public fears over radiation. 

I asked four members of the list to offer their perspectives on the issue.  You can read their public comments now online at the ANS Nuclear Cafe.  Here’s a preview.

It’s more complicated than just counting

For instance, the importance of distinctions between fast and slow decaying isotopes of iodine and cesium are sometimes lost on media and the public.

Worse, the differences between accounting for the sheer amount of radiation and giving an assessment of the potential health effects of uncontrolled releases takes place using different sets of measurement units. Is it any wonder that mainstream news media editors get headaches when their reporters file stories about radiation?

It hasn’t helped that Japanese and American nuclear experts have called for different distances for evacuation zones around the plant site. Can we fault the public for concluding that any report about radiation at a nuclear reactor is bad news?

Organizations with agendas that call for removing nuclear reactors from the energy mix have been known to exploit public fears of radiation. In doing so, they’ve sometimes failed to understand the scientific basis for the measurements.

Use of radiation statistics colored by perspective

In one case, a critic of a reactor relicensing application, writing in a political news magazine, said that a tritium release was 500 times more than expected, which was none. What he failed to realize is that the measured quantity was still 500 times less than the EPA drinking water standard.

Calling this type of mistake “junk science” misses an important point. What the public thinks is that regardless of how much radiation you are talking about, it is colorless, odorless, and tasteless. FUD fosters fear.

On the other hand, people in the nuclear energy field, who routinely work with some of the most dangerous radioactive materials in the universe, are quite calm about it, citing and practicing the principles of time, distance, and shielding. In fact, some can’t understand what all the panic is about because they know, by the numbers, that the risk isn’t commensurate with the noise level.

What we have here is a failure to communicate

failure-to-communicateIs it time for a change in the way radiation measurements are communicated and explained to the public? At the discussion list, I asked four contributors to share their views on this question.

These four people have deep insights into the world of nuclear energy, but they also have very different takes on the current systems of radiation measurement and how they are used to explain risk to the public and the press. 

In this multi-author guest blog post, an ecologist, a chemist, an energy expert, and a public affairs consultant offer ideas about what to do about making radiation numbers more understandable and, in doing so, foster better public understanding about what they mean.

All four contributors, coming at the problem from very different perspectives, nevertheless find fault with the way current radiation measurement systems explain their results. The fault finding is not with the internationally accepted scientific measurement units, but rather in communication of the numbers to a skeptical and fearful public.

Until risk communication practice by nuclear regulatory agencies catches up with the public’s needs for understanding, the nuclear industry may paradoxically continue to find itself sliced and diced in the news media by its own measurement precision.

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2 comments:

Rod Adams said...

Dan - I am sorry that I did not have the time available in my schedule to participate in the group blog.

It will probably come as no surprise to you that I believe that FUD is often purposely spread as a marketing strategy by competitive businesses. "Going negative" about your opposition is not just a political tactic; it is done by aluminum producers against plastic containers and car bumpers; it is done by sugar cane growers against corn growers whose crops produce competitive "high fructose corn syrup", and it is done by fossil fuel producers against nuclear energy.

The challenge that nuclear proponents have is that the energy business is so large that the number of zeros involved makes it almost mind boggling - the DAILY sales from ExxonMobil are in the neighborhood of $1.5 BILLION, and OPEC may reach the $1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion) mark this year.

In just a relatively small area off of the coast of Australia, multinational petroleum companies have invested more than $200 billion in liquified natural gas projects which will be a far more profitable investment if the world does not build any more nuclear plants. It will be an amazing investment home run if more nations follow Germany's lead and shut down already operating nuclear plants - the market shift will be almost immediate.

Over on Atomic Insights, I have been publishing well researched and referenced articles about the poor science that is used to justify continued adherence to the Linear No-Threshold dose response ASSUMPTION. It is clear to me that the dose rates associated with nuclear energy production do not harm human health.

Fukushima has shown that even in the most severe accident scenario, the areas with high doses are limited enough so that humans can be adequately protected by applying time, distance and shielding based techniques.

Those protective measures are no different from the way that the oil and gas industry responds when one of their installations has a problem. Remember how BP kept people off of the Gulf beaches and how Cosmo simply let its refinery at Chiba burn while keeping people away? (That last was a 10 day long fire that took out a 220,000 barrel per day facility, but it was overshadowed by Fukushima and not even covered by the commercial media.)

Rod Adams
Publisher, Atomic Insights

SteveK9 said...

It's tough when someone like Helen Caldicott (no science degree, 0 publications) seems to get as much respect from the media as Robert Gale (MD, PhD Radiation Biologist, 800 publications, 20 books, asked by USSR to coordinate medical treatment at Chernobyl, etc., etc.) who said on a program by Stephanopolous that it is extremely unlikely that even the workers at the plant will see any increased incidence of cancer.